Army, Navy, Air Force, Marines, DHS, CIA, NSA What do all these groups in the Department of Defense and Intelligence Community (DOD/DHS/IC) have in common? Up until the dawn of the 21st century, they defined military technology superiority. Our defense and intelligence community owned and/or could buy and deploy the most advanced technology in the world. Their R&D groups and contractors had the smartest domain experts who could design and manufacture the best systems. Not only were they insulated from technological disruption, they were often also the disrupters. (During the Cold War we used asymmetric technologies in silicon and software to disrupt the Soviet Union’s lead in conventional weapons.) Yet in the last decade, the U.S. Department of Defense and Intelligence Community are now facing their own disruption from ISIS, al-Qaeda North Korea, Crime. Ukraine, DF-21, and Islands in the South China Sea.
Today these potential adversaries are able to harness the power of social networks, encryption, GPS, low-cost drones, 3D printers, simpler design and manufacturing processes, agile and lean methodologies, ubiquitous Internet and smartphones. Ours once closely held expertise in people, processes, and systems that we once had has evolved to become commercial off-the-shelf technologies. U.S. agencies that historically owned technology superiority and fielded cutting-edge technologies now find that off-the-shelf solutions may be more advanced than the solutions they are working on, or that adversaries can rapidly create asymmetric responses using these readily available technologies.
It’s Not Just the Technology Perhaps more important than the technologies, these new adversaries can acquire and deploy disruptive technology at a speed that to us looks like a blur. They can do so because most have little legacy organizational baggage, no government overhead, some of the best software talents in the world, cheap manpower costs, no career risk when attempting new unproven feats and ultimately no fear of failure.